Labour ahead, but short of a majority

Labour on 280 seats, 46 short, with Reform UK the official opposition on 130 and the Conservatives on 116. Each seat is coloured by the party projected to win it; click a seat, or search for one, to see its full result.

326 for a majority

How to use this map

Method. Multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) on a Good Growth Foundation poll of 10,301 GB adults, fieldwork 5 to 10 September 2026. Shares are central estimates across 300 simulations. 631 seats; the Speaker’s seat is not projected. “By lead” shading fades seats by the gap between first and second place: lightest under 5 points, darkest 15 or more.

The Good Growth Foundation is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.